SuperCoach Racing Round 8: Rob Sutherland’s metric picks for Mackinnon Stakes Day

It’s the final round of SuperCoach racing and it’s a tricky one for those of us not blessed with a salary sombrero.

There’s two Group 1, one Group 2 and two Group 3 races so you’ll want to target those races – but none of them come cheap

Plenty will be putting the big (C) on Arcadia Queen this round. Picture: Alex CoppelSource:News Corp Australia

For those who are new to this column, each week I rank the leading contenders that offer a, hopefully, winning blend of popularity in the betting market and cheap SuperCoach price.

To compare apples with apples I have added a weighting to reflect the different points on offer for Group 1, 2, 3 and non black type races.

Below I list the 25 best rated horses, run through the stable I have selected and then throw in a bit of bonus analysis on the jockeys too.

THE 25 TOP-RATED HORSES FOR ROUND ONE (GROUP ONE IN BOLD):

FROM THIS LIST I HAVE SELECTED THE FOLLOWING STABLE OF 11 HORSES

Race two is where you can save some cash and I’ve taken four in the race – including one who didn’t even make it into my top-25 because I’m cash poor. Tommy Gold, Deep Speed and Shelby Cobra will be in my scoring 10 and Torbreck my reserve. Obviously even three runners in a non-Group race is one too many but I have had to save pennies in order to double up in the G1 races below and needs must as they say.

That’s the bad, now to the Group goodness.

Sansom flopped the only time he was asked to step out to 1,400m but that was on a bog and he finished his last race over 1,200m nicely so here’s hoping he gets the distance okay on Saturday in the Group 3 Chatham.

I’ve doubled up in the G2 Matriarch. Tough race this. Chaillot was under a length off the winner in the G1 Empire Rose at her last start and has missed a place just once in five starts. She’s Ideel is a tough mare who rarely finishes far from the front and I’m confident she’ll give a good showing here.

That just leaves the two Group 1 races. First the Darley Sprint Classic.

Bivouac was the first horse beaten in the The Everest and he won over track/distance when he took out the Newmarket back in March. Libertini never had a chance in The Everest after drawing wide and she’ll love the fast track here almost tempted to make her captain.

But I probably won’t because Arcadia Queen looks like she’ll be very very hard to beat in the Mackinnon after she ran beautifully in the Cox Plate – and she’s another who will appreciate the dry track. Speaking of good Cox Plate runs, Mugatoo had no luck in the race and still finished fourth; at $350K he’s a well-priced way into G1 points.

AND NOW TO THE JOCKEYS

I do like the look of Ben Melham’s book and he’s a bit of a POD to the more mainstream selections. If you want to play it safe then Hugh Bowman looks the best bet though.

Originally published asRd 8: The SuperCoach stable the bookies pick

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