Raceday focus: Best bets, analysis and latest odds for Flemington

TAB tipping expert Nick Quinn previews the main races at Caulfield and gives his suggested bets.

BEST BET: South Pacific (Flemington, R8 No.3)

VALUE BET: Surf Dancer (Randwick, R8 No.5)

LAY OF THE WEEK: Vegas Knight (Flemington, R4, No.11)

SIR EUGENE GORMAN HANDICAP (1600M)

Flemington, R6, 3pm

A mouth-watering clash between Degraves and Dice Roll.

Degraves produced an eye-catching win at Flemington in his Australian debut and should take benefit from that into his second start.

Dice Roll was underwhelming last start as a heavily-backed favourite but that could be put down to him being in an unfamiliar leading position.

His form before that was irresistible winning all three Australian starts for rising trainer Nick Ryan.

The early money has come for Degraves, backed from $3.70 into $2.90, including bets of $800 at $3.70, $900 at 3.50 and $4200 at $2.90.

As a result, Dice Roll has eased from $2.90 to $3.60.

They should fight it out and hopefully a chance for punters to trim up the first leg of the Flemington quaddie.

THE TIP: DEGRAVES and DICE ROLL quinella.

TREVOR CLARKE HANDICAP (1000M)

Flemington, R7, 3.35pm

Dirty Thoughts heads the market at $3.40 and will be another favourite ridden by Jamie Kah.

Dirty Thoughts enjoyed a terrific campaign this time a year ago, winning three straight races before placing twice at The Valley.

But the runner I’m keen on is the second-elect Express Pass, who relished the Flemington straight last start to nail Zorro’s Dream in the shadows of the post.

Express Pass has already been backed from $3.90 into $3.70 including one bet of $2000 at $3.90.

I think Express Pass will jump favourite.

There has been interest in Gary Portelli visitor Spaceboy, including one bet of $1000 at $6.50.

Spaceboy strung a hat-trick of wins together this time last year and can produce a big run fresh.

THE TIP: EXPRESS PASS win.

The money is likely to come for Express Pass. Picture: Racing Photos via Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

FLEMINGTON CUP 1849 (2800M)

Flemington, R8, 4.15pm

When South Pacific transferred from Aidan O’Brien to be trained by Ciaron Maher and David Eustace the price tag was high, as were the expectations.

The horse had a marvellous international resume including a victory over Constantinople at Royal Ascot.

It took him longer than many would have thought to win his first Australian start, but that came in impressive fashion last start at Flemington against similar opposition that he will face on Saturday.

Jamie Kah sticks with him here and the obvious concern is gate 15 in a 16-horse field.

South Pacific has a clear class advantage over the field and the $2.70 is an appealing price.

Outside the favourite it looks an even field.

Sweet Thomas is an honest stayer and at $7 the win and $2.30 the place is worth including in the multiples.

THE TIP: SOUTH PACIFIC win.

Originally published asQuinny’s Mailbag: Degraves backed to roll Dice

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