Horse racing tips: Best bets for Hawkesbury with Matt Jones

Daily Telegraph form analyst Matt Jones gives his best bets and runs the rule over every race for the Rowley Mile meeting at Hawkesbury on Thursday.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

HAWKESBURY

BEST BET

Race 8 No. 2: EMPOWERMENT

She shoots for three-straight here after a couple of good scone wins. She appears to fall in at her last one which was misleading because the jockey went for her too early for Tracey Bartley’s liking. Hugh Bowman is now on.

NEXT BEST

Race 7 No. 3: KUKERACHA

It’s a good Rowley Mile but he’s a Queensland Derby winner and class can get him home off a short enough break with two lead-up trials under his belt. A dry track is a bonus too.

VALUE BET

Race 5 No. 9: OTELO

He was luckless first-up on the Kensington track and despite this he will start overs again from barrier one for a trainer who is good at causing upsets.

QUADDIE

Leg 5: 2, 7, 9, 10

Leg 6: 1, 4, 5, 6

Leg 7: 3, 7, 8

Leg 8: 2

TRAINER TO WATCH

David Payne will probably be scratching his head if Bazooka can’t win the opening race while Otelo and Kennedy Choice are going to go close later in the day.

JOCKEY TO WATCH

Jay Ford will fancy his chances on Tycoon Hallie, Flying Crazy and front runner Invinciano in the main race on the card.

David Payne can get off to a winning start with Bazooka in the first race. Picture: Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images

INSIDE MAIL: HAWKESBURY

RACE 1

Fine Ruby only got going late over 1600m here last start but won and was soft on the line, suggesting he’s better served going up to 1800m. Third-up so should be even better. Chateaux Park keeps running on well and looks closer to a win. Going up to 1800m might help. Mantinello is the leader and will give a good sight on the quick back-up from a solid win. If Bazooka can’t win this, he might never win again. He’s Saturday standard but just falls short in races.

Bet: Bazooka to win.

RACE 2

Tycoon Hallie got to a Group 3 race in her first preparation after running well despite finishing sixth, fourth and second. Trial form suggests she’s come back a nice four-year-old and she’s well placed on her home track fresh. Pacheco has drawn awkwardly but has Hugh Bowman on for her second run after being nabbed late on debut at Scone. Look for improvement. Soloist is an improver off a second on debut. James McDonald gets on Different Strokes after he performed above market expectations at Newcastle.

Bet: Tycoon Hallie to win.

RACE 3

Head Legislator’s form suggests he must win one soon. Drawn awkwardly and will probably be ridden for luck. If Nash Rawiller can work his magic, the horse can do the rest. Akahata was Listed placed at his first preparation before not being disgraced in a Group 1. Class can get him home fresh off one trial. Statesmanship came from well back in his latest trial to run second. Looked a little green but James McDonald rode him and sticks, which is key. Why Doubt can lead into straight and is an improver off two city runs.

Bet: Akahata to win.

RACE 4

Hamaki has drawn wide again after not getting the easiest of runs on debut in town when he faded late. Expect improvement off that and if he can get cover can be in the mix. It’s hard not to like Bahama’s trial after a spell following a debut run in the Group 3 Kindergarten Stakes in April. In good hands and this is a suitable starting point for her spring. Way To The Stars looks to have a bit of style and had Hugh Bowman on for his first run after trialling ahead of some nice horses.

Bet: Way To The Stars to win.

RACE 5

Impulsive Tycoon has trialled impressively for Team Hawkes, which trained him to three consecutive placings last time in. He’ll like this big track and should get cover off the fence and be in the right spot turning for home. Shadow Devil is a striking black colt who looks primed to go well fresh with a gun run in transit. Latin Lyric should have won in town last start. She’s drawn wide but will be ridden cold anyway and punters should look for a big last 200m. Otelo didn’t have the best of luck fresh and is good odds at $11.

Bet: Otelo each way.

RACE 6

The only knock on Conrad is the wide draw and it will be interesting to see what McDonald does over 1100m. He has gate speed and it’s only one bend into the straight, so with a touch of cover he can finish it off. Has some X-factor. Flying Crazy swooped down the outside to win in town on debut. Shouldn’t have to make up that much ground this time as he looks to take the next step in a good field. Jadida beat home Latin Lyric first- on the Kenso, so there’s more to come.

Bet: Exacta 6, 4.

Berdibek can provide Kukeracha with some competition in the Rowley Mile. Picture: AAPSource:AAP

RACE 7

Berdibek has a cushy draw and dry track after racing well under less-than-ideal circumstances for some time. This is his best chance for a well-deserved win. But it will be hard with Queensland Derby winner Kukeracha lining up. Only had nine-week let-up and is well suited to the mile off two trials. Countofmontecristo has been a little up and down since arriving in Australia but still ran less than two lengths off the winner in two stakes races and 1600m now is a bonus. Riodini goes from 1200m to a mile, which helps in open race.

Bet: Quinella 3, 8.

RACE 8

Trainer Tracey Bartley thinks Empowerment is a good thing to make it three straight wins. She has Hugh Bowman on from barrier four and can use her turn of foot to advantage – but not go too early in the straight, which almost cost her a win last time out. James McDonald sticks with Akihiro after they were second behind Cobia, who didn’t have great luck yet still finished off stronger second-up.

Bet: Empowerment to win.

Originally published asHawkesbury tips: Derby winner to show his class

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