New NBA playoff projections: How the Grizzlies’ woes change the West

  • Co-author, Pro Basketball Prospectus series
  • Formerly a consultant with the Indiana Pacers
  • Developed WARP rating and SCHOENE system

Do the Memphis Grizzlies have enough to hold on and make the play-in tournament without Jaren Jackson Jr.? Or will their West rivals elbow them out?

On Tuesday, the Grizzlies announced that their second-year forward will miss the remainder of the 2019-20 season due to a meniscus tear in his left knee. That appears to open the door for several teams chasing Memphis — particularly the New Orleans Pelicans, Portland Trail Blazers, and San Antonio Spurs.

I’ve simulated the remaining seeding games 500 times to see how the race plays out.

Let’s take a look.

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